Archive for January, 2008

31
Jan
08

End Of January

I can’t believe it, it is almost the end of the January, the first full month of 2008. February is upon us and comes February 29, Leap Day, which comes every four years. Some people have their birthday on February 29th, in which they celebrate on February 28th or March 1st. I don’t anyone who has a Leap Day birthday.

Looks like we could have a stormy morning complete with thunder and rain. Sounds like spring time in winter. Severe weather does not care what season it is or if it is El Nino or not. Yes, it is more likely to happen in spring and fall, but it can happen anytime. I remember severe thunderstorms in December, flooding in January, and tornados in February.

Mardi Gras is upon us, which is also known as Fat Tuesday, which is celebrated by Catholics and non-Catholics. It is the day before Ash Wednesday and a 40 day period called Lent, which people cannot eat meat on Fridays until Easter. Well, some abstain from smoking and drinking as well, which is a good thing too. It is rather early to celebrate Mardi Gras, which is the earliest since 1913. Easter comes on March 21st, which is early too because spring has barely started.

I am not a football fan myself, but Super Bowl LXII is coming. It is New England Patriots vs. New York Giants. I am rooting for New York of course because it is my favorite city, even though I am a Southerner. I have always liked New York since I was a young child. It will be a game worth watching for me. Super Bowl is one of the days where people consume a lot food besides Thanksgiving. I eat a lot during Super Sunday. Thinking about them nachos and buffalo wings. Mmmmmmmmmmmm. Super Sunday is like a holiday on its own, like Christmas and Labor Day.

19
Jan
08

A World Of Shaming and Shunning

One day, you walk out of your house and no one says a word to you, buy you do not think much of it. Than you go to work and you find out you are fired for some unknown reason. You try to look for a job and they do not want to hire you. On the weekends, you decide to go to your country club and they tell you to leave and give the check you paid for membership back. You were once the most popular in town and all your friends decide not be around you anymore. You get kicked out from bar after bar. The manager at you favorite restaurant you eat at tells you you are not welcomed anymore because your presence is making other patrons uncomfortable. You get nasty looks and people hurl nasty insults at you. You are sometimes even threatened with violence and some even spit and hit you. Your home is not safer either, you are bombarded with constant phone calls that are often ugly in nature. Your answering machine is full. You get barrage of hate mail by snail mail and e-mail. To make matters worse, the whole world knows who you are and people on the Internet are posting name, phone number, and address. People are comparing you to some of history’s most vile people, like Charles Manson, Eric Harris and Dylan Klebold, Seung-Hui Cho, 9/11 Hijackers, and even Adolf Hitler and Joseph Stalin. On top of this, many people are calling for your blood. What is this place? If you thought this is prison, you are wrong. Prison is being confined to a small room in a state penitentiary. However, your world has become a virtual prison with no way out. Welcome to the world of shaming and shunning.

Social shaming and shunning occurs when people do something that morally wrong, but not illegal. Well, not always, especially when it comes to cases involving child molestation, murder, drunk driving, rape, terrorism, or treason. It usually occurs when someone does something that outrages the public, but charges are not filed in this case. Shaming is a very powerful weapon that has a lasting effect. Ask OJ Simspon, David Cash, and Lori Drew about that. One thing that comes to mind is the Megan Meier MySpace suicide case, which occurred in 2006, but did not break until November of 2007. The hoax was committed by Lori Drew, her daughter, and Ashley Grills. To add fuel to the fire, the Drews, pressed charges against the Meiers, who were grieving the loss of the daughter, after smashing up their Foosball table and also for Ron trying mess up their lawn. Even though the case was bizarre in nature, Lori Drew is not all that different from other people who have faced social shunning, like OJ Simpson and David Cash. If we were to predict their future, we can look no further than OJ Simpson.

Despite his acquittal, Simpson became a pariah that his own country club kicked him out and his friends turned their backs on him. To compound it, he lost the civil suit and is severely broke. He cannot find a job because no one will ever hire him, which would make the business suffer. Same goes with David Cash, who never faced charges, but faced extreme shaming to a point that he was a sad and lonely person, who has no future and friends. In many ways, Cash is similar to Lori Drew, he tried to sue his high school for denying him for attending prom.

Shaming comes with stigmas. Stimgas are permenant and do not wash out. In many ways, shaming is more powerful than the law. Sure, you may not have a criminal record or see the bars of prison. Having a criminal record does not always bar a person from finding a job. Some people with criminal records are hired and end up being productive workers. On the other hand, people who are shamed are often not hired. Even though those people never faced any criminal charges, no one is going to associate with them. Even if they are hired, they will get fired quickly as they get hired. A college degree is worthless as a sheet of paper for them.

Many people who are shamed brought it onto themselves. Their arrogance and stupidity is their downfall. If you break the rules, you should face the consequences of your action. Shaming keeps people in line. People who think shaming is wrong seriously need to have their heads examined. Those kind of people are moral relativists and believe that there should be no consequences for their action. Those kind of people should shunned as well, like the shunned.

Using public relation to help remove the stigma is not going to help and improve your image. Repairing damaged repuatations is generally a bad idea. It does more harm than good. We all saw that with Bill Maher after he made the remark on Politically Incorrect, a week after 9/11 attack. Emotions were running extremely high because of the heinous nature of the terrorist attack. Anyone who was seen unpatriotic that time were viciously attacked that their reputation was marred and were shunned into despair. Many adverstisers pulled out and he went into talk shows as a form of damage control. However, Maher ended up shedding too much blood and was curb smashed. Eventually, Politically Incorrect was canned in 2002 and Maher is now HBO.

They can say I took in Hurricane Katrina evacuees from the Gulf Coast or went to a Third World nation and helped the poor. Or, I am a honor student and went to a great college. None of that would work. They can keep saying I was a good person who helped people. Sorry, that is not going to cut it. You have to face the consequences of your action. Break the rules, face the music.

15
Jan
08

Rainy Day

Looks like another rainy night and day. A cold rainy day to be exact. Well, the rain is needed because we have not seen much rain, since we are in a La Nina phase. The rain is coming from a low that formed in the Gulf of Mexico. In fact, it formed further south than expected. This low could become a northeaster, which is something worth watching. I will keep you posted about it. 

Looks like we will not be seeing any winter precipitation this week. Winter weather is hard to predict for sure. We could see an Arctic blast later this month. I have pointed out that some of the biggest Arctic blasts occured in La Nina winters.

03
Jan
08

2008 Caucus Result

Looks like prediction was right. Huckabee won for the Republican and Obama won for the Democrats.

My Way News-Results

03
Jan
08

2008 Iowa Caucus

The 2008 Iowa Caucus is happening as we speak. Here is my prediction on who will win the Iowa Caucus tonight.
Democrat-Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton
I am leaning towards Obama for this because he has a stronger support and base.

Republican-Mike Huckabee or Fred Thompson
I am leaning towards Huckabee as the same reason as Obama.

However, I think this election year will be the election year of outsiders. The likely candidates are:
Republican-Fred Thompson
Democrat-Barack Obama
Libertarian/Constitutional-Ron Paul

Another conisderation is that past presidents were governors.
Frankling Delano Roosevelt
Jimmy Carter
Ronald Reagan
Bill Clinton
George W. Bush

Some were house members, senators and/or vice president, going back to World War II.
Harry S Truman
John F. Kennedy
Lyndon B. Johnson
Richard Nixon
Gerald Ford

One was a military general
Dwight Eisenhower

If history has a telling, it will most likely be governor or senators that will be the candidate for presidency.

I have a hunch that this year’s election we could see a repeat of 2000. We could see razor thin margins. The candidate who becomes president will be decided by the Electoral College. In 2000, Bush lost in the popular vote, but won in the Electoral College vote. It has happened in the past.

1824-John Quincy Adams
1876-Rutherford B. Hayes
1888-Benjamin Harrison
2000-George W. Bush
2008-?

One difference is 2000 Election was not as contentious as the 2004 Election. I know 2008 Election will be really contentious if not outright nasty. The candidates in both parties are taking snipes at each other. Once, the political party nominates their candidates for the general election, it will get outright dirty and bloody. Mark my words.

01
Jan
08

Happy New Years!

Happy New Years! It is now 2008. It is barely a day old. I am sure many have marked in the new year, whether at home, party, or at Times Square. The new year is in. Since 2008 is an election year, it will be an interesting year. Here are other years that compare going back to 1998.
1998-Monica Lewinsky Scandal and strong El Nino.
1999-Kosovo War, Columbine, and Turkish Earthquake. Also, the Y2K Bug scare.
2000-Nothing outstanding, saving Elian Gonzalez and 2000 Election which ended up in the courts.
2001-Official start of new millenium. Can be divided by two, before and after 9/11.
2002-First full year since 9/11.
2003-Start of Iraq War.
2004-Election year, four hurricanes affecting Florida, and Indian Ocean Tsunami.
2005-Active hurricane season and Hurricane Katrina.
2006-Nothing outstanding other than midterm election
2007-Virginia Tech Massacre, TC Sidr, and Bhutto’s assassination.
2008-Only time will tell. :-)

I always notice before a major and tragic news event that the media always focuses on one or two things, some should not be such a focus. Prior to 9/11, it was Chandra Levy and string of shark attacks. In fact, I saw a video on the morning news on September 11, 2001 at 8:00 AM. It was a slow news day, other than primary elections and Michael Jordan making an announcement of returning to NBA. Prior to Hurricane Katrina was Natalee Holloway. Prior to Virginia Tech Massacre, it was Anna Nicole Smith’s death and Don Imus getting fired.